This is very important if you’re a current student, or if you’re just about to start a postgraduate degree.
On its own, the referendum has no legal effect on the UK’s EU membership. The result expresses the will of the British people, but this is merely advisory.
Parliament must then reflect on this decision and decide when (or even if) to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. This formally notifies the EU of the UK’s decision to leave.
When will the UK invoke Article 50?
David Cameron has left the management of the UK’s EU exit to his successor, to be elected in time for the Conservative party conference.
This means that the UK’s formal exit from the EU will not begin until October (at the earliest).
What will happen to students in the meantime?
Nothing.
The UK remains a full member of the EU until Article 50 is invoked and a withdrawal agreement is agreed.
During this time all EU treaties still apply to the UK. These include the guarantees of free movement, study mobility, access to funding and protection from fee discrimination covered in our previous blog.
How long will Brexit take?
Once Article 50 is invoked, the UK and EU will begin negotiating a withdrawal agreement. This is likely to be a complex process, with many topics to discuss – including students and higher education.
The standard negotiation period is two years. This can be extended by the European Council if the UK’s exit is as complex as expected.
It’s also possible that the new Prime Minister may delay invoking Article 50 in order to establish a stronger negotiating position within parliament – or between parliament and the EU.
Boris Johnson is the most likely candidate to succeed David Cameron and has already stated that there is ‘no need to invoke Article 50’ immediately.
This means that the earliest the UK is likely to leave the EU is October 2018.
Will the UK definitely leave?
Parliament is not obliged to invoke Article 50 following the referendum result. The new Prime Minister could seek a new deal with the EU and perhaps even offer a second referendum.
This is unlikely, however. Any decision not to initiate a withdrawal from the EU would question the legitimacy of the referendum process and undermine the credibility of the government.
It’s likely that the UK higher education sector will lobby throughout the withdrawal process in order to support the interests of current (and future) students.
Jo Johnson, the Minister of State for Universities and Science, is also a pro-Remain supporter who has emphasised the importance of UK and EU educational partnerships throughout the campaign.
What if I’m planning to begin a Masters or PhD after 2018?
The situation for future postgraduates is harder to predict – particularly for EU students studying in the UK.
Any concessions granted to continuing students may only be temporary, with changes to fees, funding and immigration requirements coming into force after the UK leaves.